Some experts are less sanguine about what direction the pandemic is heading, though. That gives Rubin "the greatest hope that our worst days are behind us." Now that younger kids can start to get vaccinated, that could make a substantial difference in controlling cases as families gather together. "I've got cautious optimism, particularly in highly vaccinated areas right now." "The next few weeks are really going to tell us about the holiday season," he says. David Rubin, who leads the COVID-19 modeling group at Children's Hospital of Philadelphia. Modeling suggests that cases will likely stay high through the holiday season but will not accelerate into a new nationwide surge as occurred last year, says Dr. Even some of the heavily vaccinated Northeast has been dealing with increases during the fall. Parts of the Southwest and Midwest are also trying to control an uptick. The Mountain West - where vaccination coverage tends to be lower - is the worst off, especially Colorado, Wyoming and Montana. About 40,000 people are in the hospital with COVID-19, under half of the peak in early September. In fact, the country's daily average of cases has hovered around 72,000 infections for the past two weeks as outbreaks smolder, particularly in the northern half of the country. has settled into an uneasy, drawn-out exit from the delta surge that took hold over the summer.įor many weeks, declining cases and hospitalizations have offered hope ahead of the holiday season, when Americans travel and spend more time indoors, but progress has stalled recently, with cases rising or plateauing in more than 20 states.
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